diff --git a/changelog.d/396.md b/changelog.d/396.md new file mode 100644 index 000000000..095625d15 --- /dev/null +++ b/changelog.d/396.md @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +- Fill in 2020 and 2021 carbon intensity values for all 12 consumption categories by linear interpolation between the existing DEFRA-sourced 2019 and 2022 anchors, replacing the prior `backdate_parameters` artifact that held values flat at 2019 across the gap. diff --git a/policyengine_uk/parameters/household/consumption/carbon/intensity.yaml b/policyengine_uk/parameters/household/consumption/carbon/intensity.yaml index 05b95f102..e3cb400e3 100644 --- a/policyengine_uk/parameters/household/consumption/carbon/intensity.yaml +++ b/policyengine_uk/parameters/household/consumption/carbon/intensity.yaml @@ -1,39 +1,63 @@ -description: Carbon intensity by consumption type (where microsimulation data is not available) +description: Carbon intensity by consumption type (where microsimulation data is not available). 2019 and 2022 values are sourced from the DEFRA UK Carbon Footprint dataset; 2020 and 2021 are linear-interpolated between those two points (DEFRA publishes the underlying COICOP figures, but we lack the LCFS-weighted aggregation methodology used to produce the 2-digit values for 2019 and 2022). Years after 2022 are forward-projected at -4.9%/year via `gov.economic_assumptions.indices.carbon_intensity`. alcohol_and_tobacco_consumption: 2019-01-01: 7.7e-05 + 2020-01-01: 7.092333e-05 + 2021-01-01: 6.484667e-05 2022-01-01: 0.00005877 clothing_and_footwear_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.000262 + 2020-01-01: 0.00025086 + 2021-01-01: 0.00023972 2022-01-01: 0.00022858 communication_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.000404 + 2020-01-01: 0.00039425 + 2021-01-01: 0.00038449 2022-01-01: 0.00037474 education_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.000241 + 2020-01-01: 0.00028874 + 2021-01-01: 0.00033648 2022-01-01: 0.00038422 food_and_non_alcoholic_beverages_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.000689 + 2020-01-01: 0.00062852 + 2021-01-01: 0.00056804 2022-01-01: 0.00050756 health_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.000656 + 2020-01-01: 0.00065116 + 2021-01-01: 0.00064633 2022-01-01: 0.00064149 household_furnishings_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.000212 + 2020-01-01: 0.00021016 + 2021-01-01: 0.00020833 2022-01-01: 0.00020649 housing_water_and_electricity_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.0012 + 2020-01-01: 0.00111799 + 2021-01-01: 0.00103598 2022-01-01: 0.00095397 miscellaneous_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.000203 + 2020-01-01: 0.00020843 + 2021-01-01: 0.00021385 2022-01-01: 0.00021928 recreation_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.000185 + 2020-01-01: 0.00018347 + 2021-01-01: 0.00018193 2022-01-01: 0.0001804 restaurants_and_hotels_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.000311 + 2020-01-01: 0.00030431 + 2021-01-01: 0.00029761 2022-01-01: 0.00029092 transport_consumption: 2019-01-01: 0.00107 + 2020-01-01: 0.00107055 + 2021-01-01: 0.00107109 2022-01-01: 0.00107164 metadata: unit: tonnes per gbp