readme.md

Evaluating hotspots

In this folder, we consider ways of comparing the outputs of predictions to what really happened: that is, "scoring" predictions. We will also, in the future, consider other properties of predictions which might be of interest.

Introduction

• Comparing predictions

Comparison methods

• Hit rate
• Rank ordering
• Likelihood
• [Kernel Density Estimation](Kernel Density Estimation.ipynb)
• Scoring rules
• Wavelet decompositions - Work in progress
• Bayesian + Information Theoretic ideas

Examples

• Comparison with synthetic data

Future work

• [Properties of hotspots](Properties of hotspots.ipynb)