LLM-Polymarket

BS Thesis on LLM-based probabilistic forecasting of Polymarket events. Various models, aggregation and calibration techniques are tested for this purpose, the results and conclusions are presented in text and presentation

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Paper

Read the paper (LLM_polymarket.pdf)

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Presentation

View presentation (Petukhov_Defense.pdf)

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Repo structure

├── Petukhov_Defense.pdf
├── LLM_polymarket.pdf 
├── src/ # source files in python
├── data/  # data samples
├── requirements.txt  
└── .flake8, .gitignore, ...